Estimación de la fracción de la mortalidad en Rusia atribuible al alcohol

Yury E. Razvodovsky

Resumen


La evidencia acumulada sugiere que el alcohol contribuye de forma importante a la cifra total de muertes prematuras en Rusia. El objetivo del presente estudio fue estimar la mortalidad adulta prematura atribuible al abuso de alcohol en Rusia sobre la base de datos a nivel agregado de todas las causas de mortalidad y de consumo de alcohol. Con este propósito se analizaron los datos de mortalidad por cualquier causa para el período 1980-2005 estandarizados por edad y por sexo junto con los datos sobre el consumo global de alcohol mediante series temporales ARIMA. Como resultado de la comparación, se encontró que el consumo de alcohol se asociaba significativamente con todas las causas de mortalidad masculina y femenina: un aumento de 1 litro en el consumo global de alcohol se traduciría en un aumento del 3,9% en la tasa de mortalidad masculina y en un 2,4% de aumento en la tasa de mortalidad femenina. Los resultados del análisis también indican que el 41,1% de las defunciones de hombres y el 27,8% las muertes de mujeres en Rusia podría atribuirse al alcohol. Podemos concluir que el alcohol es un importante contribuyente a la alta tasa de mortalidad en la Federación de Rusia. Por lo tanto la prevención de daños atribuibles al alcohol debe ser una prioridad de salud pública en Rusia.


Palabras clave


mortalidad; consumo de alcohol; Rusia

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.20882/adicciones.96

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