Aggregate level time series association between alcohol consumption and cardiovascular mortality
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20882/adicciones.386Keywords:
alcohol consumption, cardiovascular mortality, beverage-specific effect., aggregate level time series associationAbstract
Current epidemiological evidence suggests J- or U-shaped relationship between the level of alcohol consumption and cardiovascular mortality (CVD) rate with an elevated risk for abstainers and heavy drinkers. The role of drinking pattern in the alcohol-cardiovascular mortality association is a very important issue today. It is known that occasional heavy drinking increases the risk of CVD in liner fashion. Considerable attention has focused on the beverage-specific effect of alcohol on cardiovascular mortality rate. It seems difficult to made generalization regarding beverage-specific effect of alcohol on CVD mortality rate at the population level. Purpose: To estimate the beverage-specific effect of alcohol on CVD mortality rate. Method: Trends in different types of CVD mortality rate (ischemic heart disease, myocardium infarction, and hypertension) from 1970 to 1999 in Belarus were analyzed in relation to trends in the level of different types of alcoholic beverages consumption per capita employing time series, factor and cluster analyses. Results: The analysis demonstrated a positive and statistically significant effect of changes in strong spirits per capita consumption on CVD mortality rate. The analysis suggest that a 1% increase in spirits consumption per capita would results in 0.45% increase in myocardial infarction mortality rate and in 0.4% increase in hypertension mortality rate. Conclusion: The outcome of the present study suggest that cardiovascular mortality tends to be more responsive to changes in strong spirits consumption per capita than in total level of alcohol consumption in the countries with prevailing intoxication-oriented drinking pattern. These study support ideas that binge drinking is a risk factor on CVD mortality at the population level.References
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