Estimación de la fracción de la mortalidad en Rusia atribuible al alcohol Estimation of alcohol attributable fraction of mortality in Russia

Autores/as

  • Yury E. Razvodovsky Grodno State Medical University. Enviar correspondencia a: Grodno State Medical University, Belarus, Grodno, str. Gorky 80, 230008, Tel. + 375 0152 70 18 84 Fax +375 0152 43 53 41

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20882/adicciones.96

Palabras clave:

mortalidad, consumo de alcohol, Rusia mortality, alcohol drinking, alcohol attributable fraction, Russia

Resumen

La evidencia acumulada sugiere que el alcohol contribuye de forma importante a la cifra total de muertes prematuras en Rusia. El objetivo del presente estudio fue estimar la mortalidad adulta prematura atribuible al abuso de alcohol en Rusia sobre la base de datos a nivel agregado de todas las causas de mortalidad y de consumo de alcohol. Con este propósito se analizaron los datos de mortalidad por cualquier causa para el período 1980-2005 estandarizados por edad y por sexo junto con los datos sobre el consumo global de alcohol mediante series temporales ARIMA. Como resultado de la comparación, se encontró que el consumo de alcohol se asociaba significativamente con todas las causas de mortalidad masculina y femenina: un aumento de 1 litro en el consumo global de alcohol se traduciría en un aumento del 3,9% en la tasa de mortalidad masculina y en un 2,4% de aumento en la tasa de mortalidad femenina. Los resultados del análisis también indican que el 41,1% de las defunciones de hombres y el 27,8% las muertes de mujeres en Rusia podría atribuirse al alcohol. Podemos concluir que el alcohol es un importante contribuyente a la alta tasa de mortalidad en la Federación de Rusia. Por lo tanto la prevención de daños atribuibles al alcohol debe ser una prioridad de salud pública en Rusia.
Accumulated research evidence suggests that alcohol is a major contributor to premature deaths toll in Russia. The aim of the present study was to estimate the premature adult mortality attributable to alcohol abuse in Russia on the basis of aggregate-level data of allcause mortality and alcohol consumption. With this purpose agestandardized sex-specific male and female all-cause mortality data for the period 1980-2005 and data on overall alcohol consumption were analyzed by means ARIMA time series analysis. As a result alcohol consumption was significantly associated with both male and female all-cause mortality rates: a 1 liter increase in overall alcohol consumption would result in a 3.9% increase in the male mortality rate and in 2.4% increase in female mortality rate. The results of the analysis also suggest that 41.1% of all male deaths and 27.8% female deaths in Russia could be attributed to alcohol. We can conclude that alcohol is a major contributor to the high mortality rate in Russian Federation. Therefore prevention of alcohol-attributable harm should be a major public health priority in Russia..

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Publicado

2012-09-01

Número

Vol. 24 Núm. 3 (2012)

Sección

Originales